Thomas Bayes: An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances (1763)


Here is a .pdf of Bayes’ original 1763 essay, which more or less kicked off (via Laplace) the discipline of probability theory, which was revived this century by Harold Jeffreys and Shannon then ET Jaynes:  Bayes (1763) An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances.pdf.

I’ll try to post relevant essays by them soon.

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About Peter Freed, M.D.

I am a psychiatrist (psychopharmacology and psychotherapy) specializing in the so-called "personality disorders," particularly narcissistic and borderline personality disorders. I was a Fellow and then an Assistant Professor of Clinical Psychiatry at Columbia from 2004- 2011. I am currently in private practice in NYC.